• After No. 2: What Bam Aquino’s 2025 vote really means for 2028

    Originally published in The Manila Times on September 3, 2026. https://www.manilatimes.net/2026/09/03/opinion/contributors/after-no-2-what-bam-aquinos-2025-vote-really-means-for-2028/2417197 BAM Aquino entered the 20th Congress with one of the strongest electoral credentials of the 2025 midterms: second place nationwide, nearly 21 million votes and a map extending well beyond the traditional opposition base. That naturally puts his name in conversations about 2028. The…


  • The tandem paradox

    Originally published in The Manila Times on August 22, 2026. https://www.manilatimes.net/2026/08/22/opinion/contributors/the-tandem-paradox/2410069 SARA Duterte leads Leni Robredo in OCTA Research’s latest solo presidential test. Put Robredo together with Raffy Tulfo, however, and the picture changes. In OCTA’s Q2 2026 head-to-head presidential survey, Duterte received 43 percent against Robredo’s 34 percent. In a hypothetical tandem test from…